Tuesday, March 16, 2021

March Mid-Month Update

MARCH MID-MONTH UPDATE

There are 3,160 total residences in SCCL.

2807 Single Family Residences
275 Villas
78 Carriage Homes
 
The status of the market changes from day to day.
The information below is current as of 3/16/21. 


Days on Market (DOM) have decreased considerably.
The charts below shows DOM for properties that have gone 
UNDER CONTRACT (UC) since the first of March.
 

Single Family Residences
 4 SFRs have gone UNDER CONTRACT this month.
3 SFRs went UC in 8 days or less.
 2 of those went UC in 4 days or less.
 
Carriage Homes and Villas 
1 Villa has gone UNDER CONTACT this month.

Current information can be found using the links below and can always be found using the tabs at the top of my website/blog.

UP-TO-DATE STATS FOR SCCL

CURRENTLY ACTIVE/UNDER CONTRACT/SOLD YTD

Information about specific properties can be found using the PROPERTY SEARCH.

Contact me if you'd like to receive property updates by email.

With inventory down, we are currently in a Seller's market.
If you have been thinking about making a move, now might be the perfect time to put your home on the market.
Give me a call, if you'd like to discuss your plans.

Are We in a Housing Bubble?

Article Courtesy of Keeping Current Matters

Are we in a housing bubble?
Let’s take a look at 3 key factors that suggest we’re not.

Part 1: Housing Supply

Last year, home values appreciated a whopping 10% on average across the country. And while this year’s growth isn’t expected to match it (experts are predicting closer to 5%), buyers and sellers are still worried that home prices are too high and that depreciation is likely to follow.

However, unlike the Housing Bubble years of the mid-2000s, the major factor driving up home values is that we are also in a dire inventory shortage.

A balanced real estate market’s inventory sits around 6 months. Today’s current market is at 1.9 months, a historically low amount of homes for sale. On top of that, inventory has slowly been declining for years now: we’ve been under 5 months inventory for the last three.

In comparison, the inventory level from 2005 and 2007 increased from 5 months to 11 months, a vast over-supply of homes that did not warrant the price appreciation that went along with it.

So, throwing it back to your high school economics class, the biggest driver of price appreciation is a simple case of supply and demand, hence what we’re seeing in the market today.

 

Part 2: Housing Demand

If you remember the housing boom of the mid-2000s, you know how crazy that time was in real estate. But if Robert Schiller, a fellow at the Yale School of Management’s International Center for Finance, could sum it up in one phrase, it’s this: irrational exuberance.

In other words, the buying and selling frenzy that in-part caused the market collapse was fueled not by tactful, financial decisions but a country-wide case of FOMO (fear of missing out).

The mortgage industry fed into the frenzy, making it easy for people to obtain home loans much higher than they could afford.

Today’s real estate demand, however, is a very real thing.

Millennials, currently the largest generation in the U.S., are finally ready for homeownership and hitting the market en masse. The health crisis is also challenging homeowners to re-evaluate whether their current home meets their needs, driving more eager buyers into the market.

These two big factors, coupled with historically low mortgage rates, make purchasing a home today a good financial decision. So, not only is the demand very real, it’s also very smart.

 

Part 3: Equity

Following the housing and economic crash of 2008, economists, financiers, and real estate industry experts have combed through data to figure out why the entire system crumbled the way it did.

Most will agree that one of the biggest pieces of that catastrophic equation came down to this: equity. Or in reality, a lack of it.

The mid-2000s saw a massive wave of homeowners cashing out the equity in their homes. In short, they were using their homes like ATMs to afford some of the finer things in life.

This led to a lot of negative equity situations: where the amount someone owed on their home was far more than what their house was worth. Many foreclosures and short-sales followed, depreciating home values nationwide.

Today is a much different equity picture. Cash-out refinance volume over the last three years is less than a third of what it was compared to the three years before the crash. More than 38% of homeowners have paid off their mortgage “free and clear,” and another 18.7% have paid off over 50% of their mortgage.

This positive equity perspective puts the current housing market in a much stronger place, minimizing risk of foreclosure and stabilizing home values across the U.S.

 

Friday, March 12, 2021

SCCL Amenities Update from Board of Directors

Great news!  Today SCCL residents received the following email from the Board of Directors...

Good Afternoon SCCL Residents,

With the number of COVID cases continuing to decline in the area and the number of vaccinated individuals increasing, we are excited to continue the opening up of our community! 


Outdoor Amenities (Effective Immediately)
  • Open to Residents & Family Members
  • No restrictions on Number of People

Indoor Amenities (In the Coming Weeks)
  • Number of Users will increase in Coming Weeks
  • Increased Hours of Operation
  • Residents Only for Usage

With this phase and all future phases, we remind each Resident is responsible for their own well-being. Please maintain social distancing, wear an appropriate face mask, and adhere to CDC and state guidelines.

Continue to look for details of amenity access, hours, and reservation information in the Message from Management communications.


Sincerely,
The SCCLCA Board of Directors

Thursday, March 11, 2021

Will the Housing Market Bloom This Spring?

 Article Courtesy of Keeping Current Matters/The KCM Blog

Spring is almost here, and many are wondering what it will bring for the housing market. Even though the pandemic continues on, it’s certain to be very different from the spring we experienced at this time last year. Here’s what a few industry experts have to say about the housing market and how it will bloom this season.

Danielle Hale, Chief Economist, realtor.com:

“Despite early weakness, we expect to see new listings grow in March and April as they traditionally do heading into spring, and last year’s extraordinarily low new listings comparison point will mean year over year gains. One other potential bright spot for would-be homebuyers, new construction, which has risen at a year over year pace of 20% or more for the last few months, will provide additional for-sale inventory relief.”

Ali Wolf, Chief Economist, Zonda:

“Some people will feel comfortable listing their home during the first half of 2021. Others will want to wait until the vaccines are widely distributed. This suggests more inventory will be for sale in late 2021 and into the spring selling season in 2022.”

Freddie Mac:

“Since reaching a low point in January, mortgage rates have risen by more than 30 basis points… However, the rise in mortgage rates over the next couple of months is likely to be more muted in comparison to the last few weeks, and we expect a strong spring sales season.”

Mark Fleming, Chief Economist, First American:

“As the housing market heads into the spring home buying season, the ongoing supply and demand imbalance all but assures more house price growth…Many find it hard to believe, but housing is actually undervalued in most markets and the gap between house-buying power and sale prices indicates there’s room for further house price growth in the months to come.”

Bottom Line

The experts are very optimistic about the housing market right now. If you pressed pause on your real estate plans over the winter, reach out to a local real estate professional to determine how you can re-engage in the homebuying process this spring.

Thursday, March 4, 2021

What the heck happened to mortage rates???

Article Courtesy of Movement Mortgage
Melissa Messick, Senior Loan Officer

Mortgage rates made a notable jump this week, hitting their highest point since last July (Forbes, metered paywall).

According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, the average rate on 30-year mortgage loans is now 3.23%—up from 3.08% the week prior and the biggest week-over-week jump in nearly a full year.

For a full picture, check out yesterday’s Black Knight Daily Market Briefing.

Yesterday’s Rise & Shred featured a picture that read: “I don’t really understand how bond markets affect mortgage rates… but at this point, I’m too afraid to ask.” LOL!

We asked Pat Stone the CEO of Williston Financial Group for an explanation, and for sure, he had one!

“The jump in rates is a direct reaction to the sudden rise in the 10yr T-bill, as mortgage rates historically run 1.5 to 2% above the 10yr treasury,” Stone said.  “The 10yr treasury has gone up as more money has moved to the 2 yr treasury as a result of investor concern over potential inflation and the size of the pending stimulus bill.”

And how about future behavior?

“Rates will probably level off, maybe decline a little, then gradually rise over the next two years,” Stone explained. “These rates are historically very attractive, even with the recent increases. 
Buyers should let their desire for home ownership, and affordability, be the governing factors. Timing the bond market is always difficult.”

Melissa Messick| SENIOR LOAN OFFICER

NMLS 97916

Office (980) 777-1042 
Mobile 
(704) 905-4009

Monday, March 1, 2021

Total Number of Residences in SCCL

A correction is in order...  I received 2 emails from FSR confirming the total number of residences here in SCCL at 3161, but learned from BOD Secretary Cynthia Rudolph that the actual number is 3160.  Since I will spend an hour looking for a penny error in my checkbook, I needed to follow up immediately to see why the numbers didn't correspond.  After contacting FSR again today, I learned that it was their error - COS (Common Open Space) was inadvertently included in the 3161 number.  So here are the correct numbers:

3160 TOTAL RESIDENCES

2807 SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

275 VILLAS

78 CARRIAGE HOMES

What Are the Benefits of a 20% Down Payment?

 Article Courtesy of Keeping Current Matters/The KCM Blog

If you’re thinking of buying a home this year, you may be wondering how much money you need to come up with for your down payment. Many people may think it’s 20% of the loan to secure a mortgage. While there are plenty of lower down payment options available for qualified buyers who don’t want to put 20% down, it’s important to understand how a larger down payment can have great benefits too.

The truth is, there are many programs available that allow you to put down as little as 3.5%, which can be a huge benefit to those who want to purchase a home sooner rather than later. Those who have served our country may also qualify for a Veterans Affairs Home Loan (VA) and may not need a down payment. These programs have really cut down the savings time for many potential buyers, enabling them to start building family wealth sooner.

Here are four reasons why putting 20% down is a good plan if you can afford it.

1. Your interest rate may be lower.

A 20% down payment vs. a 3-5% down payment shows your lender you’re more financially stable and not a large credit risk. The more confident your lender is in your credit score and your ability to pay your loan, the lower the mortgage interest rate they’ll likely be willing to give you.

2. You’ll end up paying less for your home.

The larger your down payment, the smaller your loan amount will be for your mortgage. If you’re able to pay 20% of the cost of your new home at the start of the transaction, you’ll only pay interest on the remaining 80%. If you put down 5%, the additional 15% will be added to your loan and will accrue interest over time. This will end up costing you more over the lifetime of your home loan.

3. Your offer will stand out in a competitive market.

In a market where many buyers are competing for the same home, sellers like to see offers come in with 20% or larger down payments. The seller gains the same confidence as the lender in this scenario. You are seen as a stronger buyer with financing that’s more likely to be approved. Therefore, the deal will be more likely to go through.

4. You won’t have to pay Private Mortgage Insurance (PMI)

What is PMI? According to Freddie Mac:

PMI is an insurance policy that protects the lender if you are unable to pay your mortgage. It’s a monthly fee, rolled into your mortgage payment, that is required for all conforming, conventional loans that have down payments less than 20%. Once you’ve built equity of 20% in your home, you can cancel your PMI and remove that expense from your mortgage payment.

As mentioned earlier, when you put down less than 20% when buying a home, your lender will see your loan as having more risk. PMI helps them recover their investment in you if you’re unable to pay your loan. This insurance isn’t required if you’re able to put down 20% or more.

Many times, home sellers looking to move up to a larger or more expensive home are able to take the equity they earn from the sale of their house to put down 20% on their next home. With the equity homeowners have today, it creates a great opportunity to put those savings toward a 20% or greater down payment on a new home.

If you’re looking to buy your first home, you’ll want to consider the benefits of 20% down versus a smaller down payment option.

Bottom Line

If you’re thinking of buying a home and are already saving for your down payment, reach out to a trusted professional who can help you decide what fits best with your long-term plans.


MARCH 1 - The numbers changed again

 

Another property went UNDER CONTRACT, so we're back down to 2 ACTIVE SFR listings in SCCL today.

Sunday, February 28, 2021

FEBRUARY END OF MONTH UPDATE

Today, just as I had finished posting the current stats for SCCL, another Single Family Residence (SFR) went UNDER CONTRACT.  At the end of February of last year, there were 33 ACTIVE SFRs and 8 Villa and Carriage Home listings.  As of this writing, there are only three (3) FSRs and there are NO ACTIVE Villa or Carriage Home listings. 


 

Current information can be found using the links below 

and can always be found using the tabs at the top of this page.

 

Information about specific properties can be found using the PROPERTY SEARCH tab above.

Contact me if you'd like to receive property updates by email.
 
 
TreeTops by Lennar
Lennar Homes is getting ready to close out TreeTops. As of 2/25/21 there were only 7 available properties. If you are interested in seeing any of these homes, remember that is always in your best interest to be represented by your own REALTOR®. The sales staff, while very helpful, represent the builder, not the buyer.  Builders require that buyers must be represented by their own agent on their first visit to a community or they will be considered as unrepresented.  I'd be happy to arrange a visit to TreeTops with you, if you would like to check it out.
 
The main model (location of Sales Office), which is a Hopewell, will be for sale in the near future. The price has not yet been provided.

There are currently NO ACTIVE RESALES at TreeTops, but they do come up, so if you would like updates on TreeTops listings, please contact me.

 
With inventory down, we are currently in a Seller's market.
If you have been thinking about making a move,
now might be the perfect time to put your home on the market.

Give me a call, if you'd like to discuss your plans.

Friday, February 26, 2021

It’s a Sellers’ Market [INFOGRAPHIC]

 Infographic Courtesy of Keeping Current Matters/The KCM Blog

These are national stats.  Visit my website regularly for local stats.

Some Highlights

  • Over the past year, homeowners have gained an unprecedented opportunity to sell with great success while buyer demand is soaring.
  • With homes selling twice as fast as they did last year at this time, getting multiple offers, and rising in price, homeowners are in the driver’s seat.
  • Reach out to a local real estate professional today if you’re ready to learn about the leverage you have as a seller in today’s housing market.